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作者:董顺马卓
来源:朝5晚9
发布时间:2026-08-26

大话西游

From chips to sunflower seeds and dumplings, Washington's sanctions tear away its own fig-leaf_我的网站

无间道二

A |     By Wang Gaofei, Wu Xinru     (ECNS) -- Do sunflower seeds and dumplings pose a "threat" to U.S. national security?    The question may sound absurd, but the latest additions to the so-called Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) entity list have raised questions about the breadth of the U.S. trade restrictions on Chinese goods. 43 Chinese companies have been added to the list in a single day, bringing the total to 187. From advanced chips to food and everyday apparel, the overreaching "big stick" of U.S. sanctions has finally ripped away its own fig-leaf.    Is this move really driven by "human rights concerns" as the West claimed, or is it merely the result of political calculation by Washington's elites? What lies behind Washington's decision to escalate sanctions just one day after reaching a consensus?    Josef Gregory Mahoney, an American scholar and professor of Politics and International Relations at East China Normal University, was recently invited to join News Lounge of China News Network where he unpacked the real intentions of U.S. sanctions.        Sunflower seeds and dumplings land on the list: The absurdity and futility behind overreaching sanctions     "This move is logically indefensible," Mahoney stated bluntly, "These consumer goods firms have absolutely no connection to the so-called 'forced labor' allegations. Claims are entirely fabricated and lack any factual basis."     He argued that the U.S.' true intention is clear -- using groundless excuses to suppress China's competitive ordinary industries, disrupt the stability of China's industrial and supply chains, and protect the market share of its own traditional industries at the expense of Chinese enterprises' legitimate rights.         When even sunflower seeds and dumplings are labeled as "threats," the veteran scholar of China-U.S. relations emphasized, it exposes the absurdity and desperation behind Washington's containment strategy.     Turning to the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) itself, he was even more incisive: "In the context of international law, the UFLPA has no legitimate legal foundation. In fact, it violates basic WTO rules and international trade norms."    He also added that the enforcement criteria of UFLPA are fatally flawed, adopting an unfair, rebuttable presumption that treats all related entities as guilty without evidence. When the law arbitrarily expands restrictions without clear, consistent judgment, it reverses the fundamental legal principle of presumption of innocence.     To suppress China, Washington has disregarded legal principles and fallen into logical contradictions, going to extraordinary lengths to achieve its ends.    Mahoney stressed: "It is blatant economic coercion, which could bring far-reaching harm," including erecting unnecessary trade barriers, hindering the flow of bilateral goods, and disrupting global industrial chain arrangements. Washington will hardly be able to bear the bitter fruits of these spillover effects.    Backtracking the very next day: Political calculation trumps economic and trade consensus     Just one day before the sanctions were announced, senior Chinese and U.S. officials in charge of economic and trade affairs had just held a video call, during which both sides stated that they were ready to jointly push for stable and sound China-U.S. economic and trade ties. Yet Washington brandished the big stick of sanctions almost immediately after those remarks. According to Mahoney, the timing is a deliberate and calculated provocation.     "The U.S. uses engagement and escalation as two sides of the same policy. It aims to create unilateral leverage before the follow-up consultations, break the mutual trust just built and force China into unnecessary concessions, completely violating the consensus reached by both parties."    The so-called "human rights concerns" appear to be a plausible pretext by the U.S. Yet in Mahoney's eyes, the sanction escalation stems almost entirely from domestic U.S. political calculation.     As the midterm elections draw near, demonstrating toughness on China remains one of the few tactics to unite Washington's bitterly-divided political establishment. The U.S. Congress has consistently demanded more aggressive UFLPA enforcement, and expanding the entity list helps insulate the White House from criticism by China Hawks.    Mahoney sees through this ploy: "It says nothing more than a convenient political fig leaf."    But just how much of Washington's shame can this fig leaf possibly cover?        Mahoney pointed directly to long-unresolved domestic issues in the United States, including sweatshop labor, prison labor and the abuse of migrant labor. Abroad, Washington has resorted to the aggression against Venezuela, against Iran, and supporting the genocide in Gaza.     Plagued by deep-seated domestic ills and a dismal human rights record, Washington, though, has long posed as a self-appointed "world's policeman," but its actions only serve to expose its deep hypocrisy.    Mahoney warned that, faced with election-driven pressures, continued festering of domestic governance problems in the U.S. could push Washington toward increasingly radical foreign policy stances. This sanction move, which represents a betrayal of previous consensus, has further eroded the already fragile China-U.S. mutual trust and introduced considerable uncertainties for subsequent high-level consultations.      Truth long obscured: Heavy barriers hide the reality     Western public discourse has long been awash with various false narratives targeting China, Xinjiang in particular.    "One of the interesting things we know about the cotton industry in Xinjiang is that there's no 'forced labor,' period. One of the things that is sort of interesting is that anyone can go to Xinjiang. It welcomes all visitors." Mahoney iterated in the interview.    During his recent visit to Xinjiang, Mahoney not only witnessed firsthand the highly-mechanized cotton-harvesting operations, but also toured local factories that produce harvesting equipment.    Inside the production workshops, he saw working teams led by female engineers, and members included Uyghurs who were there as professionals. Everyone performed their respective duties, actively contributing ideas and energy to production with great enthusiasm. Nowhere did he see "forced labor" or "slave labor" decried in Western media narratives.     Only by experiencing it firsthand and verifying through on-the-ground investigation can one get a glimpse of the truth. Mahoney noted that foreign visitors traveling to Urumqi, Karamay, and Kashgar are consistently struck by the region's stability, public order, and the well-being of its people.    Not everyone can afford, unfortunately, to travel to China, as Mahoney introduced, especially many Americans who find their position eroding economically because of the very policies that the current administration is putting into place. "They're kind of trapped in economic decline."    Some anti-China forces have long engaged in blame-shifting, seeking to externalize domestic governance conflicts and divert public discontent through media narratives. Trapped within pre-set information echo chambers, ordinary citizens lack the means to verify the truth by traveling to China. Exposed over time to one-sided, misleading and even false reports, they readily develop deep-seated negative stereotypes about China.    Encouragingly, the current media landscape is quietly shifting.    Mahoney noticed that a level of criticality has sort of entered the discussion now, which is creating an opening for people to take a more balanced look at China.    In recent years, China has rolled out multiple visa-exemption policies, and the popularity of travelling to China continues to surge. In his view, this offers an excellent opportunity for people overseas to break free from false narratives and see a multifaceted, authentic China. At the end of the interview, Mahoney shared his observations on the future development of China-U.S. relations.     In his view, how relations unfold between these two major powers has implications well beyond the two nations but also the global order.     Mahoney explained how Europe, faced with persistently high risks of deindustrialization, is further impacted by the energy crisis amid regional conflicts stoked by the United States, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Iran-Israel conflict. A large volume of opportunities and investment therefore has flowed outward, forcing Europe to adopt trade-protectionist stances toward China, which brings complications to China's relationship with the EU. Mahoney said that a growing number of countries are seeing these developments. And they realize that if they want to avoid the boot heel of American hegemony, they have to find more constructive alternatives and the ability to advance according to their own agendas. "And these, in fact, are the alternatives that China is offering them."    He held that some significant headwinds would be raised for the short-term development of China-U.S. relations and they would become more complicated.     His position is that the United States is facing a relative decline and is being hollowed out from within by itself while still being engaged in imperial overreach globally. Increasingly, the world is building alternatives to that type of U.S. dominated model.     On the contrary, China is probably the country best-positioned in the world to weather those types of risks and to even moderate them to some extent. He believes the country will work through this.    "China has been a responsible major power that has committed itself to stability over conflict," said Mahoney.    "If the U.S. can wake up to that realization, while at the same time figure out a way to change its behavior and commitment to structural inequalities, then I think we might find the two countries being able to move together in a way that would better result in a shared future for humanity," he concluded.                    。    

韩国外长终于来到了中国并与中国外长进行了会谈,表面上看,这次韩国外长访华是应我国外长的邀请而来,但实际上是韩国有求于我国而来,但从会谈情况看,中方弄懂了韩国的意思,但中方三点讲话韩外长却没有懂,老大却懂了而且非常担忧。原因何在呢?
韩方有求于我方,因为韩国目前的处境非常艰难特别是投靠老大以后日子反而更难过了
求人应该有一个求人的样子,韩国外长来中国之前,韩国已经面临非常恶劣的环境和难以解决的难题。

B |

一是韩国总统的支持率已经降至24%,达到了30多年来韩国历任总统的最低点,韩方急需通过与中方缓和关系来给自己的政绩加分。
二是半岛局势在韩美日的刺激下日益增大了不确定性,而面对朝方日益增强的军事能力,韩方也是心里越来越感受到风险在加大,急需求助中方为半岛局势降温。

C |

三是缓和韩中关系强化经济合作,因为韩国没有想到自己加入西方阵营对付中方以后日子过得更惨了,急需缓和与中方的经贸关系谋取自身的经济利益。
本来中韩经贸关系密切,韩国也赚取了大量的经济利益,搭上了我国经济发展的快车赚得盆满钵满。但韩国却一心投靠了西方阵营全面放弃了中国市场而,并积极地与盟友一起对我国的科技、经济、文化等方面进行全方位的打击,还在我国的核心利益台海、南海问题上上蹿下跳,希望抑制中国的发展同时提升自己的国际地位和经济发展能力。

D | 但剧本却拿反了,老百姓的日子反而过得更惨了。

韩国经济面临了一系列严峻的问题导致经济处于经济崩溃边缘,韩国2023年的GDP增长率仅为1.4%,创下了近三年来韩国经济增长的最低水平。
韩国曾经的优势汽车产业已经远远被我国市场所抛弃,韩国汽车行业正逐渐退出我国的主流市场,2023年韩国的起亚、现代等品牌汽车在我国的销售量暴跌了30%。韩国造船业的市场份额正被中国取代,截至今年3月全球总造船订单中国占了59%,而韩国占仅有24%。
韩国曾经不可一世的半导体由于积极参与欧美对我国的制裁,导致原有的半导体特别是芯片行业的优势难以出货,随着我国芯片自主研发,韩国的半导体销售额下降了37.5%,直接导致了韩国对华由贸易顺差成为贸易逆差。
韩国因为向主人效忠而对华赴韩旅游采取了各种不友好的政策,导致以中国游客为主的韩国旅游业遭到重创,现在形成反转大量的韩国人来华旅游,而韩国一直期待的中国去韩国旅游热潮并没有如愿出现,反而越来越被国人抛弃。特别是韩国的物价水平大幅度上涨,也急需与中方缓和关系而解决经济难题。
中韩国会谈本来是韩国有求于我,韩方的态度却非常倨傲,中方虽然态度十分客气但立场坚定不会让步!
韩方无论是地缘政治、半岛稳定、经济发展以及中日韩峰会等议题上求中国“帮忙”。但韩国外长的态度却是倨傲在此前,完全不知道世界上谁是大小王,还以为自己是“会牌”呢?谁都能管。
韩国以前先是声称应该按照惯例中方外长先去访问韩国,然后再访问中方,结果中方没有理睬;最后韩方只能降低身份自己先访问中方,这种小国寡民心态也体现在了与中国外长的会见之中。

E |

韩方在与中方会谈时,实际上心态与韩国的现实并不相称,与所谋求的求人态度反差过大,想求人又不想有一个好的态度。
5月14日韩国外长介绍与中方会谈的细节,本来想在气势上给自己加分和解脱,却实际上透露出已经谈崩了!
朝方说目前趋冷的韩中关系是在尝试纠正,韩国对华关系仍处于调节、变化调整的阶段。本来想跟中方示好,却非要说是关系调整,本来是韩国自己放弃与中国的友好关系,却还要说是修正以前比较好的关系;本来是想让中方帮助他们解决目前的困局,却称现阶段谋求打造双边关系可持续发展。直白的意思就是:调整太友好的关系到正常的关系,但不承认主动示好。虚伪吧?
关系半岛问题,朝方表示中国主动发挥的作用被削弱,韩方对中方的期望值也有所降低。意思就是中方没有答应帮忙,结论就是谈崩了。
韩方说双方谈了一些敏感性内容,不对外泄露,直白地理解就是双方各说各的, “畅所欲言”没有形成结论性意见。
本来这次是韩方外长来寻求中方帮助的,但韩方的静态却好像是中方有求于韩方式的,而且感觉上好像是韩方外长居高临下训话中方。
但现实呢?韩方外长表态称,韩方不赞成零和博弈,希望同中方增进互信、扩大共识、聚焦合作,避免地缘政治因素的制约,共同开启中韩合作的新局面。
而中方强调了三个底线,第一个底线是合力推动中韩关系健康稳定发展,要求韩方恪守一个中国原则,必须妥善慎重处理涉台问题。第二个底线是中韩经贸关系发展符合时代潮流,中韩经贸合作的规模大,希望中韩共同反对贸易保护主义。第三个底线是中国正加快发展新质生产力,中国经济对韩方有巨大的机遇,韩国要从本国利益出发慎重选择。
韩方要的中国没有答应,中方的要求韩方没有懂,但老大懂了却非常担忧
韩国和日本都是美国插手亚太局势、对抗中国的马前卒,都是制约中国、介入南海和东海的跳板,更是希望借助日本和韩国之手祸乱台海、扰乱中国的发展、给中国制造麻烦和混乱。
美国一方面是在韩国部署包括萨德导弹等形成对中国和朝鲜的战略威慑;另一方面挑动韩国与朝鲜的关系制造半岛危机,从而在我国周边制造各种混乱。

F |

在科技和经济上通过限制韩国半导体产业特别是三星、海力士等芯片巨头的对华出口管制,打压和限制中国半导体产业的发展,影响和限制中国对韩国和朝鲜的影响力。
但在韩国完全投靠欧美以后,事实上已经破坏了中韩合作的基础,如果不能解决根本性的战略选择,中韩的经济合作基础就已经不再存在,只剩下各取所需的经济贸易往来。在中国日新月异的发展和巨大的市场利益之下,韩国要想搭上中国经济的快车就非常困难了。
中韩外长的会谈,既释放了两国关系缓和的信号,中韩关系强调的是“实用主义外交”与美方“价值观外交”的博弈,中方提倡的两国之间相互尊重、合作共赢正在成为国际主流。这一点韩国没有听懂,还在强调自己的架子、形象、傲慢和无知,而美国却已经看懂了,从而也是美国最担心的局面会出现,即接下来的中日韩峰会如果提前凝聚共识,日韩与中国无论是在经贸合作还是地缘政治上的的走近都是美国最担心的和不愿意看到的。(麒鉴说财经)

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